Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 8.863712 10.144616 11.560335 13.243575 15.193586 17.385393 20.041080
2025-07-27 7.353666 9.063281 11.108167 13.743884 17.065043 21.129156 26.507146
2025-08-03 6.127998 7.958546 10.274452 13.437592 17.673697 23.190244 30.982752
2025-08-10 5.305409 7.188155 9.681094 13.251369 18.278958 25.173570 35.460613
2025-08-17 4.682721 6.578296 9.188199 13.082186 18.810172 27.028539 39.896724
2025-08-24 4.174003 6.053478 8.732014 12.876374 19.214880 28.686075 44.177274
2025-08-31 3.742150 5.584517 8.292875 12.623402 19.485296 30.125917 48.241897
2025-09-07 3.567636 5.474567 8.364128 13.136010 20.966112 33.563065 55.885343
2025-09-14 3.332803 5.244441 8.221646 13.284624 21.861523 36.133195 62.373725
2025-09-21 3.089433 4.975062 7.986806 13.249293 22.431918 38.199492 68.210525
2025-09-28 2.852558 4.692983 7.702213 13.094901 22.768920 39.878267 73.524098
2025-10-05 2.750413 4.624651 7.763322 13.535510 24.189381 43.615122 83.132581
2025-10-12 2.627948 4.513560 7.745831 13.842878 25.415912 47.162679 92.914465
2025-10-19 2.548724 4.470474 7.841826 14.363881 27.094939 51.751536 105.414047
2025-10-26 2.352197 4.200143 7.506554 14.042543 27.110651 53.086870 111.303647
2025-11-02 2.192711 3.983997 7.251169 13.847277 27.349541 54.884310 118.408029
2025-11-09 2.050586 3.788447 7.017251 13.669894 27.601427 56.726100 125.842707
2025-11-16 1.916574 3.597559 6.776174 13.454119 27.747377 58.351195 132.987773
2025-11-23 1.788547 3.408296 6.522868 13.188916 27.757987 59.676455 139.594082
2025-11-30 1.759885 3.411687 6.649044 13.726326 29.568678 65.203693 157.175562
2025-12-07 1.692015 3.331123 6.599288 13.882145 30.542152 68.925812 170.776495
2025-12-14 1.609713 3.214898 6.467059 13.845100 31.069186 71.656453 182.207212
2025-12-21 1.521665 3.080340 6.286231 13.683225 31.286830 73.665090 192.006280